This alert expired on 18 July 2026 at 18:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 2nd strongest of the 16 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 18 at 1:57PM EDT until July 18 at 2:15PM EDT by NWS Detroit/Pontiac MI
An estimated 358,848 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- June 25, 2026 · score 43 · 13.6 km
- July 18, 2026 · score 48 · 19.1 km
- July 21, 2026 · score 43 · 19.4 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 43 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Event Data
| Type | Severe weather |
| Severity | medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 43 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 43.0869, -83.2694 |
| Nearest City | Burton (30 km) |
| Population Exposed | 358.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-07-18T17:57:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0f47b0ce60dc4fc853799efa29becb17 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Lapeer, MI; Genesee, MI; Tuscola, MI |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 18 at 1:57PM EDT until July 18 at 2:15PM EDT by NWS Detroit/Pontiac MI |
| Expires | 2026-07-18T14:15:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Detroit/Pontiac MI |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 2 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0f47b0ce60dc4fc853799efa29becb1771e4233a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.dea02c722b6720efb188c200d28d8a469ddad683.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 43/100, near Burton (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 188 scientific monitoring sources.